Why Clinton hasn’t put Trump away
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Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton during the first presidential debate, on Monday. (Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
My first impression, after watching the opening chapter
of the Trump-Clinton debate trilogy Monday, was that really not much
would change as a result. Trump had been his rude, sputtering,
substance-free self; Clinton had proved herself again to be the diligent
studier who pretends to be amused when you know she isn’t.
Supporters of either candidate would be further persuaded, I figured, and everyone else would await round two.
By Tuesday morning, however, it was clear that the collective media had reached a different conclusion.
According to all the TV analysis, which now eerily resembles an NFL
playoff postgame show, Donald had self-destructed, Hillary had
humiliated him, and the dynamic of the race had suddenly shifted —
perhaps for good.
For
about the thousandth time this year, the headlines portrayed Trump as a
political Gulliver bound finally in ropes and about to crash to earth
once and for all.
Maybe, I thought.
Except
that then I sat in a train station in New York, the morning after, and
watched CNN as one of Clinton’s surrogates, the vice president of the
United States, rallied a crowd in Pennsylvania with his own brief indictment of Trump. And I decided I’d probably been right the first time.
Despite
Trump’s reckless and bullying campaign, Clinton still hasn’t managed to
put the race away once and for all. And if you watch Joe Biden’s riff,
which is well worth a minute and a half of your time, you might have a
window into why.
Speaking
to an audience of Drexel students, Biden immediately picked up on the
two moments during Monday’s debate that I too had thought, watching it
live in our Yahoo News studio, should have been the moments everyone
remembered.
First
Biden went after Trump for saying that having paid nothing in income
taxes made him “smart.” Drawing on a deep well of conviction, his voice
laced with disgust, Biden said Trump should tell that to the janitor in
the hall, or to his dad who worked 60 hours a week, or to the mothers
and fathers who were “breaking their necks” to send their kids in the
audience to school.
“I really mean it,” Biden said, sounding like he did. “It angers me!”
Then
he pounced on Trump for another astounding moment — the one when
Clinton accused him of profiting off the decimation of the housing
market, and Trump interrupted her to say, “That’s called business, by
the way.”
Biden
reminded the students that a lot of their parents had lost the equity
in their homes — equity that helped them send kids to college and plan
for retirement.
“That
equity was insurance,” Biden hissed. “That equity’s what gave them
peace of mind when they got into bed. And this is a guy who said, and
wants to be president, that it was good business to see the market fail!
“What in the hell is he talking about?”
Now,
compare this with Clinton’s real-time responses. I’m not being
uncharitable here, because Clinton had a very strong debate, and by any
technical standard of debating she won it running away.
But
when Trump cut in to declare himself smart for having evaded taxes,
Clinton took care to keep smiling and plunged ahead with her prepared
civics lesson. “So if he’s paid zero, that means zero for troops, zero
for vets, zero for schools or health,” she went on blandly.
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When
Trump blurted out, shockingly, that the definition of business in
America was to bet on a housing collapse — which, by the way, was very,
very bad for American business, if you haven’t heard — Clinton stayed
with her clinical points about how many people had lost their jobs and
how the Obama administration had brought us back from the abyss.
All
of which was fine — as I said, she prosecuted the case ably enough on
the merits. What was missing, though, was any kind of emotional
investment, any sense of being genuinely offended on behalf of the
people Trump insults.
You
get the feeling Biden wakes up in the morning shaking his head and
muttering to himself, infuriated by Trump’s blatant disregard for the
aspirations of worried Americans.
You
get the feeling Clinton wakes up and consults her briefing books,
concerned chiefly with avoiding anything off-key. She mentioned her
father a few times in the debate, but the lines seemed as well ironed as
the pantsuit.
Some of this is just personality, and some of it almost certainly has to do with the burdens of being a woman nominee.
The media is quick to see Clinton as shrill or hectoring; emotion of
any kind is more perilous for a woman, and no one should pretend
otherwise.
But
as Karl Rove used to say back in the day (and here he was right), you
beat your opponent not by attacking his weakness but by undermining his
strength. And emotion — ostensibly on behalf of white, working-class
Americans — is the only ballast that keeps allowing Trump to bob back up
to the surface.
What
was stunning about watching Trump Monday was his complete and
unapologetic lack of depth. Never have we seen a candidate make less
pretense of knowing anything about policy or history. When it comes to
actual governance, Trump, at this late date, is still just a guy in a
bar, tossing out platitudes he’s heard on TV.
And
yet he displayed the mastery of emotion that has gotten him this far. A
pure entertainer, he channels better than any candidate who ran this
year the cynicism of the white electorate, and not just those who are
staunchly conservative.
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Loss
of control, creeping chaos, contempt for the political class — these
are the emotions that have been building in the electorate for years
now, and Trump has brilliantly distilled and exploited them.
To
really put Trump away for good, you can’t cede the emotional ground to
him, preferring to stay at a cerebral remove. You have to compete for
it, as Biden would.
You
have to sever Trump’s emotional bond with his voters, or at least
strain it. You have to expose him as a fraud whose career belies all of
this apparent conviction about the American working class.
Imagine
if, when Trump made the boneheaded mistake of saying it was just
business to bet against the housing market, Clinton had responded with
something more like:
“No, Donald, that’s actually not business at all. That’s just the greedy, heartless speculation that real CEOs and real
patriots despise, because it destroyed American families while you got
rich and laughed. Which is why even your fellow business leaders don’t
respect you.”
That would have left Trump looking far worse than sputtering. It would have left him looking small and unworthy.
There
are a couple of more debates coming up, and I’d guess that Clinton
might win those too, on both the arguments and the atmospherics. But I’d
also guess that, without a more emotional assault on his case for the
presidency, Trump can remain viable, at least, straight through to
Election Day.
We should know by now that Trump isn’t going to just self-destruct. Lord knows he’s tried.
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